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MI

MYOMO, INC. (MYO)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 revenue of $9.65M grew 28% YoY and modestly declined sequentially versus Q1; gross margin compressed to 62.7% amid higher materials and overhead .
  • Revenue beat Wall Street consensus by ~5.5% ($9.65M vs. $9.15M), while EPS of $(0.11) missed the $(0.106) estimate; 5 estimates underpinned the consensus values. Bold: Revenue beat; EPS missed* [Values retrieved from S&P Global].
  • Management cut FY25 revenue guidance to $40–$42M (from $50–$53M) and guided Q3 revenue to $9.5–$10.0M, citing weaker lead quality and conversion and reimbursement/operational headwinds—an explicit negative catalyst .
  • Operating metrics were mixed: pipeline adds rose 49% YoY to 816 and total pipeline reached 1,611 (+37%), but authorizations/orders dipped 3% and backlog fell 18%; cost per pipeline add jumped 89% to $2,926 .
  • Liquidity remains adequate (cash, equivalents and short-term investments of ~$15.5M), but Q2 cash burn was elevated; workforce reduced ~8% in July and spending cuts expected to save ≥$2M over the next 12 months .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • “Second quarter revenues exceeded our expectations with 28% growth as we further strengthened our ability to convert current quarter authorizations and orders into revenue.” — CEO Paul R. Gudonis .
  • Pipeline expansion: 816 medically-qualified adds (+49% YoY) and total pipeline reached 1,611 (+37% YoY), showing sustained demand generation .
  • Medicare Part B exposure continues to underpin revenue (56% of Q2 revenue), enabling higher velocity conversion (53% of revenue units came from intra-quarter authorizations/orders) .

What Went Wrong

  • Gross margin contracted 810 bps YoY to 62.7% due to higher material and overhead spending; adjusted EBITDA worsened to $(4.0)M .
  • Forward-looking metrics softened: authorizations/orders down 3%; backlog fell 18%, signaling near-term conversion challenges .
  • Cost per direct-billing pipeline add surged 89% to $2,926 following a digital ad platform algorithm change; advertising spend rose 162% YoY to $2.2M .

Financial Results

MetricQ4 2024 (oldest)Q1 2025Q2 2025 (newest)
Revenue ($USD)$12,068,456 $9,831,814 $9,652,234
Gross Margin (%)71.4% 67.2% 62.7%
Net Loss per Share (Basic & Diluted)$(0.01) $(0.08) $(0.11)
KPI (Units/%)Q4 2024 (oldest)Q1 2025Q2 2025 (newest)
Revenue Units (devices)220 182 178
Authorizations & Orders (units)233 213 207
Backlog (units)272 249 230
Pipeline Adds (patients)657 700 816
Total Pipeline (patients)1,389 1,482 1,611
Medicare Part B Share (% revenue)57% 59% 56%
ASP ($/device)~$54,900 ~$54,000 ~$54,200
Cost per Pipeline Add ($)$1,224 $2,300 $2,926
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD)$168,109 $(2,821,608) $(4,004,633)
Estimates vs. Actual (Q2 2025)Consensus EstimateActual
Revenue ($USD)$9,146,800*$9,652,234
EPS ($)$(0.106)*$(0.11)
# of Estimates (EPS / Revenue)5* / 5*

Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.

Segment/Channel breakdown (Revenue):

Revenue Source ($USD)Q2 2024 (oldest)Q2 2025 (newest)
Direct to Patient$5,829,407 $7,420,904
Clinical/Medical Providers (incl. O&P, VA)$1,691,360 $2,231,330
Total$7,520,767 $9,652,234

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue ($USD)FY 2025$50M–$53M $40M–$42M Lowered
Revenue ($USD)Q2 2025$9.0M–$9.5M Actual: $9.65M Beat prior guidance
Revenue ($USD)Q3 2025$9.5M–$10.0M New
Gross Margin, OpEx, OtherFY/Q3 2025Not providedNot provided

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2024, Q1 2025)Current Period (Q2 2025)Trend
Advertising & Lead QualityQ4: Cost per pipeline add $1,224; efficient lead gen . Q1: Meta algorithm change raised cost per pipeline add to ~$2,300; efficiency improved by April .Lead quality below expectations; cost per pipeline add $2,926; shift from digital to TV ads to improve quality .Worsened in Q2; corrective actions underway
Medicare Advantage Utilization MgmtPersistent denials; appeals, ALJ process; ~40–50% historical overturn rates, longer timelines .Continued headwind; authorizations/orders down 3%; MA share ~20% of revenue (context from 10-Q) .Ongoing headwind
Medicare Part BQ4/Q1: Largest growth driver; faster cycle, high velocity .56% of revenue; 53% of revenue units from intra-quarter conversions .Stable positive driver
O&P Channel BuildQ4: 160 CPOs trained; O&P revenue $0.6M . Q1: >300 trained; certification classes ramping .Ongoing certification; demo units and training investment; not quantified in Q2 press release .Building; 2H ramp expected
Product & R&DQ1: Launched MyoPro 2x; roadmap to next-gen MyoPro 3 .Continued engineering spend; R&D OpEx up 99% YoY .Investing for future
Operations & CapacityQ1: Manufacturing 120 units/month; facility expansion .Gross margin pressure from materials/overhead; new HQ lease costs .Near-term margin pressure
Regulatory/AuditsQ1: Payer denials; engagements with medical directors .Pre-payment audits by DME MACs; payment hold resolved; few denials under appeal .Operational friction, improving collections
Macro/TariffsQ4 Q&A: Minimal impact expected (<~1% margin) .Tariff risk estimated <100 bps impact in 2025; monitoring .Manageable

Management Commentary

  • “Second quarter revenues exceeded our expectations with 28% growth... However, several forward-looking operating metrics were not as strong as we anticipated due to factors affecting lead quality and pipeline conversion.” — Paul R. Gudonis, CEO .
  • “We are shifting our advertising focus from digital advertising toward television... and using our clinical team to engage with therapists and physicians nationwide... we expect to secure additional patient referrals...” — Paul R. Gudonis .
  • “Excluding non-recurring cash outflows, our normalized cash burn was $4.9 million in the second quarter, which is a close approximation of the total cash burn we expect in the second half of the year.” — David Henry, CFO .
  • “We are updating our 2025 revenue guidance to a range of $40 million to $42 million... Revenue for the third quarter of 2025 is expected to be in the range of $9.5 million to $10.0 million.” — Paul R. Gudonis .

Q&A Highlights

Note: A Q2 2025 earnings call transcript was not available. Key themes from Q1 Q&A that informed Q2 outcomes:

  • Advertising efficiency recovery after Meta algorithm changes; cost per lead in April ~half of Jan/Feb; expected pipeline adds improvement into Q2/Q3 .
  • Authorization conversion dynamic: MA first-time authorization rates fell materially; growing pipeline with slower conversion contributed to lower authorization percentage .
  • Gross margin trajectory: Expected dip in Q2 on lower volume; aim to approach ~70% in 2H 2025 .
  • O&P channel progression: >300 CPOs trained; multi-day certifications; clinics building independent pipelines .
  • International: Continued German expansion with added staffing and marketing .

Estimates Context

  • Q2 revenue beat consensus by ~$0.51M (actual $9.65M vs. $9.15M estimate); EPS missed by ~$$0.004 (actual $(0.11) vs. $(0.106)). Five estimates supported each consensus.
  • Given the FY25 guidance cut to $40–$42M and gross margin compression, Street models likely need to revise 2H revenue and margin trajectories downward and reflect elevated OpEx and cash burn*.
    Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Revenue resilience amid conversion friction: Q2 revenue beat consensus and prior guidance, supported by Medicare Part B velocity; however, operational metrics signal near-term growth pressure .
  • Material guidance reset: FY25 lowered to $40–$42M and Q3 guided to $9.5–$10.0M—expect negative estimate revisions and potential stock pressure near term .
  • Margin headwinds: Gross margin down 810 bps YoY on materials/overhead; watch for 2H volume recovery and cost actions to stabilize margins .
  • Marketing pivot & pipeline quality: Shift to TV and clinical outreach aims to improve lead quality and conversion; monitor pipeline add efficiency and backlog rebuild .
  • Reimbursement dynamics: MA utilization management and DME MAC audit processes remain headwinds but operationally manageable; payment hold resolved .
  • Liquidity adequate but burn high: ~$15.5M cash+STI at quarter-end, with borrowing facilities; workforce reduction and spend cuts expected to save ≥$2M over 12 months .
  • Medium-term thesis: O&P channel training/certification and MyoPro 2x enhancements support broader adoption and 2H revenue potential; execution on conversion and margin critical .